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Posts Tagged ‘Election 2010’

From Peter Morrison this week:

New information provides hard evidence of Joe Straus’ pro-abortion and anti-family-values agenda.

The fight to replace liberal, pro-abortion Joe Straus as Texas Speaker of the House continues. If you have not contacted your state representative, please do so and encourage them to vote for a true conservative for Speaker. You can find who represents you here:

http://www.fyi.legis.state.tx.us/

(more…)

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THIS, while disgusting, is surely just another symptom of people with too much power being corrupted by it:

Guess what part of the Aide's anatomy Rep. Souter is describing here.

Rep. Mark Souder (R-Ind.) is resigning from Congress after telling colleagues he had an affair with a female aide.

Souder said his resignation – which will take effect Friday — is “the best decision for my family, the people of northeast Indiana and our country.”

Sounder and his wife have three adult children.

Souder’s staff informed Minority Leader John Boehner’s staff of the affair on Sunday. Boehner and Souder spoke on Monday, and Boehner told the Indiana Republican he should resign, according to GOP sources.

“Boehner has been perfectly clear that he will hold our members to the highest ethical standards,” said Michael Steel, Boehner’s spokesman.

Souder was an aide to former Sen. Dan Coats (R-Ind.) before being elected to Congress. Coats is running this year to return to the Senate.

A hard-line conservative, Souder recently survived a tough GOP primary in the Hoosier State, edging two opponents who held him under 50 percent. Souder’s Republican rivals criticized Souder over his support for the Troubled Asset Relief Program and Cash for Clunkers programs.

Notice how Souder didn’t offer to resign until John Boehner told him to do it? I’m sorry, Rep Souder, but whose interests are you really looking out for here — yours or your constituents? After Republicans have been stung recently by Florida Governor Charlie Crist’s decision to bolt the party and run as an independent, I’m sure Boehner’s “talk” was brief, and to the point.

Now you might think that the Republicans in the Third District would seek to appoint one of the other candidates who lost to Souder to fill his seat – and you’d be wrong. For one thing, Indiana law only allows seats to the House to be filled by special elections. as Northwest Indiana Politics can explain to you here. The other problem is that the best man for the job may not have been running.

The best man for the job was, very likely, recently defeated Senatorial candidate Marvin Stutzman, a Tea Party favorite.

State Sen. Marlin Stutzman, who came up short in a Republican Senate primary this month, has told associates he will announce his candidacy for the seat Rep. Mark Souder (R-Ind.) resigned from Tuesday.

Stutzman, state Rep. Randy Borror, Fort Wayne City Councilwoman Liz Brown, and Fort Wayne attorney Phil Troyer, who came up short in his primary challenge to Souder earlier this month, have all begun to inform party leaders they will seek Souder’s seat, according to a local Indiana GOP official.

Other possible candidates for the seat include, state Senate President Pro Tempore David Long and Bob Thomas, a wealthy auto dealer who drew more than 30 percent of the vote in a self-funded primary challenge to Souder.

Indiana Republicans will begin a process within the next 30 days to choose a special election candidate for the House seat. The selection process will begin with a precinct caucus meeting. Since Indiana already held its primary elections earlier this month, local party leaders will convene again later in the year to choose a nominee for the regularly scheduled November election.

Somehow I don’t think the timing of Souder’s announcement was coincidental. Had he resigned earlier his seat could have been filled during the primaries. Rep. Boehner had to TELL him to resign; a sign he was unwilling to do so. And he resigned when all attention was diverted to the primaries being held in Ohio, Arkansas, and Kentucky.

And, I’m sorry, but a man who will cheat on his wife is a moral and ethical scumbag who will tell anyone anything; so we can’t trust a thing he says.

Big Honkin’ Hat Tip to Northwest Indiana Poltics’ Steve Dalton for the tip on this.

One down, another 400+ to go.

~Johnny~

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Debra Medina has graciously taken time to participate in my “2010 Project” which gets the candidates to answer questions pertinent to the coming election.  And some of the answers are NOT what you might expect from the candidate if you’ve been listening to the drive-by media:

Please answer Yes or No to indicate whether you support the following issues. You may include up to a fifty word response to each topic:

• Abortion on demand - No. 100% Pro-Life from conception to natural death.

• Concealed Carry Reciprocity Laws for all states – Yes. States have the right to make their own laws. I fully support the right of the individual to keep and bear arms without permit or registration.

• English as the official language of America. - Yes. We acknowledge America is made up of immigrants with diverse backgrounds and languages, and that to have a lawful society means to have one that can understand the law as it is written.

• Fair Tax – one universal 20% tax across the board vs a universal federal sales tax – No. The problem is spending. The federal government currently funds a multitude of unconstitutional programs and departments that need to be repealed and those responsibilities and powers returned to the states and the people.

• ID checks at voting places – No. Currently we issue driver’s licenses to illegal aliens. Unless we stop doing that, checking ID at the polling place is not going to prevent voter fraud.

• Immigration Reform, to include a Border Fence with Mexico - Yes, in those areas that it makes sense to have a fence. We are committed to working with the border sheriffs and respecting the private property rights of the land owners along the border.

• Marriage being defined as being between one man and one woman. Yes, but this has to be decided by the states, not federally. The Defense of Marriage Act was voted on by the Texas voters and signed into law in 2003 and is consistent with my beliefs.

• No tax increases may be passed without 35ths of Congress voting for the tax increase. No. There should not be any spending increases at all until Congress returns to its proper duties and limits under the Constitution.

• “One Payer” Universal Health Care vs. Health Care Reform of the system we have now. No government involvement in health care beyond enforcing contracts. The only “reform” needed is removing unconstitutional regulations and monopoly powers that prevent the operation of the market and give advantage to lobbyists and special interests over the people.

• Repeal of the Economic Stimulus Package. Yes, the stimulus is entirely unconstitutional and Congress should repeal its mistakes. Whether it is repealed or not, each state is sovereign and needs to aggressively use interposition and nullification to negate unlawful federal action.

• Repeal of the Federal Income tax. Yes. If man is not allowed to keep the product of his labor, he stops producing. Man must own his property, whether it’s physical property, or the product of his own labor.

• Repeal of the TARP Bailout Bill. Yes, the bailout is entirely unconstitutional and Congress should repeal its mistakes. Whether it is repealed or not, each state is sovereign and needs to aggressively use interposition and nullification to negate unlawful federal action.

• Second Amendment Gun Rights. The right of the individual to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed. Permits equate to asking for permission, and registration leads to confiscation. Neither has any place in our society.

• Term Limits (12 years each) for senators and Congressmen. We absolutely support term limits on all offices, but they are most properly and directly implemented at the party level as each party utilizes its power to control who is allowed to run on its ballot.

Union “Card Check” Law to abolish secret ballots. No. Government has no place setting terms or regulations on how free citizens may associate or bargain with each other.

Meanwhile, the Medina camp remains confident when they’re getting press like this:

It’s working. Previously unheard of by the vast majority of Texans, Medina has set the race for governor on fire, upsetting the primary contest between the incumbent, Rick Perry, and Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison.

Those gathered to see Medina in Lytle loved her. Young and old, men and women, Latino and white, listened with rapt attention as she outlined her agenda and asked them to back her in this week’s first round of voting. If she can beat Hutchison into second place, she can secure a runoff against Perry. That would raise the possibility – distant but real – of a Tea Party activist capturing the government of the second biggest state in America. The Tea Party movement would have gone from being a bunch of ragtag protesters to heading one of the largest single economies in the world. “If we can change politics as usual in Texas, then we can change politics as usual across America. This is not just about Texas, but about changing the whole country,” Medina told the Observer before addressing her supporters in Lytle.

She is not alone in that ambition. Across America other extreme candidates have emerged on the Republican right to challenge familiar party figures with a fiery mix of Tea Party-inspired populism. In Arizona, Senator John McCain is facing a tough re-election fight against a former congressman, JD Hayworth, who has expressed public doubts as to whether Obama was born a legitimate American citizen. In Florida the moderate Republican governor, Charlie Crist, is lagging badly in his own primary election to rightwing challenger Marco Rubio, who has the backing of local Tea Party groups.

On the right of US politics, this is big stuff. Instead of forcing mainstream Republicans to woo them for their votes, the rightwingers are now bidding for power. It is an attempt at revolution that could have huge meaning for America and the world, especially given the disastrous showing of Democrats in recent polls and elections. Medina knows this. After her speech she ended with a plea to her audience. “We can win this race,” she said, then held up her hand and squeezed two fingers together. “It is this close.”

The American way, she said, was simple. “There are two rights essential to freedom: private property and gun ownership.”  Such thoughts find fertile ground in Texas.  One poll puts her as high as 24%, just behind Hutchison and within reach of catching her and forcing Perry into a runoff.  Medina believes she is not really in third place, citing the fact that the polls only telephone previous Republican primary voters, whereas she is bringing in thousands of new supporters. “I feel fantastic. I think we can win this,” she said in Lytle.

Meanwhile Glenn Beck has come under increasing criticism first for his remarks at CPAC last week, as well as for his Johnny-come-Lately conversion to Man-Made Global warming, even as the theory has come to be grossly discredited. In fact, more than a few bloggers have speculated that the notable absence of Michelle Malkin from CPAC (where she is a frequent flyer) may be related to Beck’s giving the keynote address on Saturday night. (Malkin had no comment, although she did make an unannounced visit to blogger’s row at CPAC.)

And while we’re skirting the subject, can I address the whole blow-up between Beck and Medina. Medina on Beck’s radio show said that “there’s some very good arguments and I think the American people have not seen all the evidence there.”
This is a far, far cry from saying that the U.S. Government blew up the World Trade Center — in any way, shape, or form. Because — can I just say it — I too believe there’s a lot of evidence out there the American public hasn’t seen, either. Let’s look at what we DO know:

  • The 9-11 Commission acknowledged in their report that the CIA and other government agencies had credible evidence of an impending terror attack for September.
  • The government also knew in several cases that commercial airliners would be used in these attacks — and frankly did not believe these reports. (Who would have before 9-11 anyway?)
  • The government was in many cases prohibited from passing this information between agencies by an Executive Order. The CIA and FBI could not share and corroborate each other’s evidence.

And whose fault would that be? The previous President’s — Bill Clinton. But with the 9-11 Commission packed with Democrats, this information has not been widely publicized.

Is that what Debra Medina meant?  I dunno — but it’s what I believe.  And it’s consistent with the evidence presented in the 9-11 Commission report. Does that make me a “Truther”?  Hell No — and neither do Medina’s words make her one either.

I do have it on good authority (but not currently able to document it)  from a local Radio station manager in the San Antonio area that since Medina’s interview with Beck, his ratings are down significantly, rebounding to about 10% less than the previous levels.  Some stations have even cut back Beck;s three-hour airtime to two hours, and about 10 stations nationwide have dropped him entirely in the last two weeks.

So, in case it’s escaped you, I’m still voting for Debra Medina, and you Texans should, too.

Election is Tuesday.  Get out and vote — make a difference.

~Johnny~

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The Wall Street Journal has noted Debra Medina’s impact on the Texas Gubernatorial race for the third time this month:

A wild Texas GOP primary is getting wilder. A new poll out Tuesday shows Tea Partier Debra Medina trailing Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison by a mere four points, within the poll’s margin of error.

The Public Policy Poll shows Governor Rick Perry leading the field for the Republican gubernatorial nomination with 39% of GOP voters. But he would need a majority of the vote on March 2 to secure an outright victory — any less and he’s headed toward a run-off. Not only is such a run-off looking more likely with the rise of Ms. Medina, formerly the Wharton County GOP chairwoman. But if Ms. Hutchison doesn’t move quickly to shore up her support among conservatives, the candidate who once polled as Texas’s favorite politician may end up the odd woman out.

The PPP poll shows Ms. Hutchison at 28% and Ms. Medina at 24% – up from 16% in last week’s Rasmussen poll, and up from 4% since November. A former nurse and state coordinator for the Campaign for Liberty, Ms. Medina is appealing to voters with populist rhetoric that takes aim at incumbents of both parties. “We Texans are undoubtedly unhappy with how this state has been run for the past decade, which includes having unfunded federal mandates shoved down our throats. The polls demonstrate that dissent loud and clear,” says Ms. Medina.

Not only does Ms. Medina lead among those GOP voters who say they disapprove of Washington; ironically, she leads among those who consider themselves liberal Republicans. Ms. Medina’s pitches to eliminate property tax, protect gun ownership and secure the border overlap most with Mr. Perry’s populist platform. Yet Ms. Medina still seems to be drawing voters away from Ms. Hutchison, not Mr. Perry. Since September, Ms. Hutchison has fallen 11 points in the polls, while Mr. Perry has gained six points and Ms. Medina has catapulted by 20.

Ms. Medina’s biggest problem now is a lack of funding. As of Jan. 21, she had only $68,000 in the bank compared to the $10 million that Mr. Perry and Ms. Hutchison each have socked away.

You can see the Public Policy Poll results HERE.

Medina’s main problem seems to be that of name recognition, which may soon become a non-issue, as she’s scheduled to be a last-minute guest on the Glenn Beck show (the nation’s #3 rated talk show) Thursday morning. You can listen live HERE. (Top left corner icons.)

This may well be the Tipping Point of the Texas Governor’s race. If Kay Bailey Hutchison is surpassed by Debra Medina, it may become a real snakefight from that point on.

~Johnny~

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Growing up on the Great Lakes we used to have a saying: “You either Fish, or Cut Bait.” It has the same meaning as what we say here today in Texas: “Either S**t or get off the pot.”

Time to commit, Texas. And not making a decision already IS a decision to stay with Governor “More-Of-The-Same” Perry.

Rasmussen Reports has a new survey of likely Texas voters out yesterday:

Texas Survey of 538 Likely GOP Primary Voters

Conducted February 1, 2010; By Rasmussen Reports

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

1* Suppose the Republican Primary for the 2010 Governor’s race were held today.  Would you vote for Rick Perry, Kay Bailey Hutchison or Debra Medina?

44% Perry

29% Hutchison

16% Medina

11% Not sure

The Good News: Medina has increased her share of voter 4%, the only candidate who has increased. The bad news is that most of that came from the failing campaign of Kay Bailey Hutchison. Very little came from Perry. And 4% every two weeks is not enough to pass Kay Bailey Hutchison in March for the runoff election.

2* I’m going to read you a short list of people in the News. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Candidate Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure
Rick Perry 24% 56% 15% 4% 1%
Kay Bailey Hutchison 18% 49% 23% 8% 1%
Debra Medina 16% 34% 21% 8% 21%

The bad news: Perry has the lowest Unfavorable ratings of any candidate. The Good news is thatMedina has a huge “Not Sure” contingent that just want to know more about her.  These are the folks she needs to reach, and who need to Fish or Cut Bait.

3* How would you rate the job Rick Perry has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

18% Strongly approve

56% Somewhat approve

16% Somewhat disapprove

9% Strongly disapprove

1% Not sure

That’s a 72% Approval rating, but 56% have some reservations of Perry’s term as Governor.  Note also 25% disapprove of Perry, which is almost identical to the 21% who aren’t sure about Medina.  Not that they are the same group, but surely there’s some amount of overlap of the two.


The second part of the poll released today has still more Good News for Medina:

The surprise, as in the new Rasmussen Reports survey of the GOP gubernatorial primary, is the growing strength of Debra Medina, a businesswoman active in the state’s Tea Party movement. Medina now edges White 41% to 38%. Last month, White had a 44% to 38% lead on her. In this contest, six percent (6%) favor some other candidate, but a more sizable 16% are undecided.

So Debra Medina is just as viable a candidate against a Bill White candidacy as either Perry or Hutchison. That’s very good news for the Medina camp.

The question remains, however; Are those “Somewhat approve”-ing voters going to make the move, or just settle for “Governor Somewhat?

If you’re one of those voters, you should watch this video.  Just a few minutes; make the time:

If you feel you don’t know enough about Debra Medina, YouTube has over thirteen pages of interviews, debates, and news pieces about her starting HERE.

No excuses.  No reason not to be informed on your choices.

And you only have yourselves to blame if Governor Somewhat bankrupts the Texas economy in a year or two — which is what’s looking more and more likely all the time.

Are you gonna Fish? Or Just sit there cuttin’ bait all night?

Me — I’m gonna catch some fish, Texas. Let’s Go.

~Johnny~

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BELO-TV sponsored the second Texas Gubernatorial debates tonight, and it was a knock-down, drag-out fight. Fortunately for the audience, that included the fights between the candidates themselves as well as the fights between the panelists and the candidates.

To watch the replays of the debates, you can find them here:

Observations on my part of the debate: first, I was well ensconced at Fatso’s Sports bar with 500 of my close personal friends at a Debate Watch party. BELO could not have done more to favor the incumbents, first by scheduling the debate on a Friday night when few (if any) would be home to watch it, and dragging on for a long time the question of whether independent Debra Medina would be allowed to attend, even after her stellar showing last time.

But that’s just me. Your mileage may vary.  I’ll discuss the various rounds and then award each round to one of the candidates based on the raltive number of Cheers or Boos from the Fatso’s crowd.

In the first round of questions, all the candidates were asked the same questions with each candidate alternating who went first.

Asked about Public transportation funding, Hutchison said that the Texas Department of Transportation (TxDOT) was grossly mismanaged, and needed to be audited and revamped. Medina said that we can’t even be sure the current figures for the TxDOT budget were correct, and agreed with the need for an audit. Governor Perry pointed out that the Legislature audits TxDOT every two years, and that the problem was that Washington sent back only 70 cents on every tax dollar for transportation. Perry then had his “deer-in-the-headlights” moment when he endorsed toll roads, saying that “private concerns” had a part in new road construction in the state. It was a glaring mistake so early in the debate.

Round is a Draw; but Perry lost points.

The next question was if the candidates would require all employers to use the federal e-verify system to ensure all new employees in the state were here legally. Medina went first this time, saying that the e-verify system is a flawed solution.  She stated that if Texas would just fix it’s own Driver’s licensure laws to require proof of citizenship or legal residence, we would not need e-verify.  She also called for immigration law reform.   Perry said that e-verify was a federal program and an abject failure.  He then used the rest of his time to slam Hutchison on the “Sanctuary Cities” law that passed while she was in the Senate.  Kay opened her statement by saying “Shame on the Governor,” then stated as a small businesswoman herself, e-verify was the best solution available.

Round goes to Medina.

The next question asked about Governor Perry taking $15 billion in stimulus money to cover a state budget shortfall,and asked what programs would be cut or taxes raised to cover next year’s shortfall.

Perry pointed out he had already issued a statewide directive to cut all departments 5%,and that the state budget had been balanced in 2003 ahead of a projected shortfall like this one without raising taxes.  Hutchison said that Perry was wrong to take the stimulus money, and favors across the board cuts.  She said that when she was state Treasurer she was able to find plenty of places to cut the budget – “It wasn’t hard to do.”  Medina said that while cutting the budget is the way to go, she favored discarding property taxes altogether and implementing a statewide sales tax of 6-14%. Eliminating property taxes would give Texans a 3% increse in real income and promote spending in the economy, which would increase tax revenues overall.

Round goes to Medina from the Standing ovation in Fatso’s.

The next set of questions were one-to-one interviews with each candidate.

Senator Hutchison went first, and her questioner nailed her with a clip of Kay’s “deer-in-the-headlights” moment from last debate on abortion.  Kay was clearly flustered then, and clearly flustered now also. Kay emphasized we need to promote more adoptions. rever life, but wouldn’t commit to saying she would support overturning Roe v. Wade.   The questioner then tried the same tactic again, saying her position on health  care had changed. Kay did the right thing this time and agreed it had changed, saying she stood “firmly against socialist health care.”  The questioner then tried to nail Kay on her earlier decision to resign her Senate seat to run for Governor, asking what would happen if a De3mocrat were elected to the seat. Kay laughed and said the was “not one scintilla of evidence a democrat would be elected to the Senate from Texas.”

Round was a draw; Kay stumbled badly early, but eventually recovered.  The laugh was a nice touch.

Debra Medina went next, and at this point the crowd began murmuring about this being the “GOTCHA!” Round as the next questioner tried to nail Debra with a clip of her speaking about secession of Texas.  Debra quickly pointed out that her remarks (which were out of context) were in response to Governor Perry’s “ill advised” remarks at the April 15th Tea Party in Dallas; and that she supports Nullification through the Tenth Amendment.  The questioner then asked if Medina was “all about personal liberty,” did she support Gay marriage?  Debra stated that marriage is a sacrament of the church, and the government had no right to tell the church what to do. Marriage by the church is between a man and a woman, and she favors that.  The questioner again pressed if she would be in favor of gay marriage, and Debra stonily relied, Absolutely Not!, which brought wild cheering in Fatso’s.  Her final question asked if we would be able to fund the state government on solely a sales tax, to which she replies that a “fairly structured” tax of 6-14% would be sufficient for the government’s needs.

Round goes to Medina, Hugely.

Governor Perry brought up the rear, and it became apparent he had few friends in Fatso’s.  Asked about illegal immigrants getting in-state tuition, the Governor defended the practice — and was loudly booed and jeered by the crowd.  Asked about reforming that practice, he said the Texas Education Association was supposed to be checking the immigration status of illegals – which even the panel of reporters found hard to swallow.  Asked for his stand on Roe v. Wade, the Governor stated “I always stand for life.”

Round to the Panel, with two Big mis-steps by Perry.

The next round was termed by the panel as the “Jeopardy” Round, which was quickly called by the Debate Watchers the “Charlie Gibson and Katie Couric” Round. A panelist asked Governor Perry about jobs in number of jobs created, and Perry replied in percentages.  Perry snidely replied to the questioner, “I know you’re having trouble understanding percentages . . . ” which brought a glare from the panelist and boos from the crowd.  Hutchison was asked about how many miles of border fence was acutally built – she said “about 150″ 9actually “105.8 miles”.  Medina was asked what percent of the state budget was Transportation, to which she guessed “about 9%) (actually the reporter didn’t know either, saying “12-13%.”

Hutchison then had her worst moment of the night, responding with a blank stare to the question “Who was the first Governor of Texas?”

Medina slam-dunked the final question of the round, answering “about $46,000.00″ to the question “What is the average annual teacher’s salary in Texas?”

Round to Medina, with bad mis-steps by both Perry and Hutchison.

The next round was viewer questions. The first was for Hutchison, and was asked what she would do as Governor to “Stop illegal immigration.”  She replied the DPS should be able to assist the Border Patrol in arresting illegals who commit crimes, and the e-verify system should be used.

The next was for Medina, and the viewer asked “why don’t we tax the wealthy to get their money from all the tax breaks they’ve got the last few years?”  Medina’s reply brought the crowd to a standing O – “Absolutely not!” She then reiterated that taxes are a drain on the economy, and we should get taxes off the backs of all Texans.

Perry was asked about Social Security benefits for retired teachers, and he blamed the mess on Congress. Not his best moment.  Asked about the Texas Enterprise Fund, Perry said that was “all screwed up too.”  Hutchison als agreed with assesment, saying it should be done away with, and the TxDot should be audited too.

Medina then had her glory moment of the night. Asked again about taxes, she said that property taxes should be eliminated, and that the role of government was to protect Freedom.   At this point the camera gave a wide shot of the trio.  Perry was visibly avoiding looking at Medina, while Hutchison was turned towards Medina, smiling as as Medina spoke.  Asked about Governor Perry’s comment after the last debate that Medina was “tearing down Texas,” Medina responded responded that “I’m a nurse and a businesswoman.  Our Government has failed by not demanding excellence and accountability.  She slammed Perry for awarding contracts “through cronies and slush funds.”

Perry was asked about toll roads – he tried to slam Hutchison by saying the legislature had passed a law prohibiting the tolling of free roads — “And I signed it.”

Hutchison responded by saying that Perry was manipulating people’s rights to freeways. She said TxDOT had fought her on this in Congress – “And that won’t happen when I’m Governor .”

Round – Very decidedly to Medina.  No question.

The closing statements were unusually revealing.  Governor Perry said Texas was the number one state in so many ways.  We don’t spend all our money, taxes are low, tort reform was passed, and we have “countless good schools.”  He closed with “May God Bless us and continue to Bless the Great State of Texas.”

Hutchisons’ closing statement was very nagging.  “As Treasurer I fought taxes.” Texas needs to fight crony-ism. Perry’s decision to vaccinate all schoolgirls against HPV virus was wrong and violated personal rights.  The Trans-Texas corridor was also a major mis-step.  And Texas continues to have a 30% dropout rate.  Not all is well in Texas.

Medina, having sanguinely watched the previous two speeches, commented dryly that they were “about what you’d expect from politicians.” She said with the Perry administration, financial ruin is at our doorstep. The Hutchison administration would support globalisation.  Her administration would “seek to remove the shackles that bind families and constrain businesses” by freeing Texans from Taxes.

The crowd stood and cheered.  And cheered some more. And whistled for good measure.

NOTES on the debate:

If Medina didn’t win the last debate, she surely knocked this one out of the park. She was the only candidate to get a question right in the “Jeopardy” segment, and refused to back down, even when relentlessly question by an obviously testy panel.

Go watch those links at the front of the post.  They a WELL worth watching.

The primary is 32 days away on March 2nd. The deadline for registering to vote in Texas is Monday — February 1st.

Get a move on.

~Johnny~

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Rasmussen Reports has released the second half of the survey they did immediately after the Gubernatorial debates last week. While interesting, it seems to mirror the results of the first half of the survey.

Texas Survey of 1,000 Likely Voters
Conducted January 17, 2010
By Rasmussen Reports
NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

1* Election 2010: Texas Governor’s Race

Rick Perry (R) 50%

Bill White (D)  40%

Kay Bailey Hutchison (R)  52%

Bill White (D) 37%

Debra Medina (R)  38%

Bill White (D)   44%

This appears to reflect the trend of the country currently (and especially last night in Massachusetts)  against Democrats.  It’s interesting that Medina, with limited name recognition, is only 6% behind White, and still in run-off contention.

2* I’m going to read you a short list of people in the News. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Candidate Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure
Rick Perry 19% 36% 21% 21% 3%
Kay Bailey Hutchison 18% 43% 27% 8% 4%
Bill White 23% 26% 18% 17% 16%
Debra Medina 10% 29% 20% 12% 29%

Or,  if you combine the Favorables and unfavorables together . . .

Candidate Favorable Unfavorable Not sure
Rick Perry 55% 42% 3%
Kay Bailey Hutchison 61% 35% 4%
Bill White 49% 35% 16%
Debra Medina 39% 32% 29%

Perry has the largest Unfavorable ratings of any candidate, which may just be a matter of exposure and being a known quantity.  However, talking with the Tea Party people here in San Antonio, I don’t think that’s all there is to it.  Hutchison has the highest favorable ratings, and Medina the lowest Unfavorables.

3* Should Kay Bailey Hutchison remain in her position as senator while she is running for Governor?

52% Yes
27% No
21% Not sure

The more I think about this one, the more I believe the only explanation is that Texans don’t trust San Fran Nan Pelosi and Dingy Harry Reid  at all, and want Kay there to B-slap them as necessary.  Whether Kay will do that remains to be seen.

4* Governor Perry withdrew Texas from a federal program offering up to $700 million in education grants. He expressed concern about education guidelines from the federal government as a result of accepting the grant. Do you agree or disagree with Governor Perry’s decision to turn down $700 million in education grants.

45% Agree

45% Disagree
10% Not sure

Split right down the middle, which mirrors the division voters feel about the Texas schools generally.  This could very well be a ticking time bomb for Perry.  I wouldn’t hitch my wagon to the star of Texas schools during the campaign if I was he.

5* Generally speaking, do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the health care reform plan proposed by President Obama and the congressional Democrats?

39%  Favor

57%  Oppose

This figure is just a few points away from the figure for Kay Bailey to stay in the Senate.  There may very well be a connection.

6* How likely is it that there will be another terrorist attack in the United States in the next year?

67% Likely
22% Not likely
11% Not sure

7* Should the December attempt to blow up an airliner as it was landing in Detroit be investigated by military authorities as a terrorist act or by civilian authorities as a criminal act?

68% By the military as a terrorist act
20% By civilian authorities as a criminal act
12% Not sure

Notice how the numbers on these two questions are almost identical.  Not much division of thought among Texans on Terrorism.

14* How would you rate the job Rick Perry has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

53%  Approve
46%  Disapprove

2% Not sure

If I were Rick Perry I’d be very worried right now.  While he’s been Governor for two terms and has massive name recognition, yet he barely ekes out a 53% approval?  He also split approval of his schools funding question at 45% as well.  Plus his challenger Kay Bailey has higher approvl numbers than he has — and the no-name challenger (Medina) is generally acknowledged to have won the debate.

Really, all Rick Perry has going for him is inertia — and he seems to be running out of that, just like Kay Bailey.

~Johnny~

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I’m sitting here watching Oceans Thirteen, which always reminds me of my Dad.  Something about Vegas, I guess, and Sinatra always reminds me of Dad.  Damned if I know why, but there it is.

And in keeping of the news of the day, notably the election win of Scott Brown in Massachusetts, I’m reminded of my father again and something he used to say (which always drove me crazy):

“It’s not Teddy Kennedy’s seat in the Senate; it’s Jack and Bobby’s seat.”

Dad’s contention was always that Ted Kennedy held that seat through any personal charisma or gentlemanly statesmanship ability.  The large amount of Independent voters in Massachusetts (almost 60%) shows it’s not an overwhelming Democrat majority, either.  No, Dad always though Ted Kennedy hung onto that seat simply because it was a memorial to his brothers who died, and both of whom had held that seat before him.

Today I’m wondering if that might not have been true.  Despite the incredibly inept campaign of Martha Coakley and the incredibly poor choice of her as a candidate; and notwithstanding the Tea Parties and the voter animosity to the mad spending of the Obama Administration . . .

Well, I gotta wonder how much influence that may have had.  Just food for thought.

~Johnny~

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Well, the “unscientific” polls aside, the one scientific poll I trust has weighed in at Rasmussen Reports, and it’s quite a bit different than the others.

This is a slightly different analysis than you’ll see on the Rasmussen site, thanks to my contact there.

Texas Survey of 831 Likely GOP Primary Voters

Conducted January 17, 2010, By Rasmussen Reports

(NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence)

1* Suppose the Republican Primary for the 2010 Governor’s race were held today.  Would you vote for Rick Perry, Kay Bailey Hutchison or Debra Medina?

43% Perry

33% Hutchison

12% Medina

11% Not sure

This is to be expected.  Just that Medina went from an entry position of 3% in November to 12% this week is a 400% increase; that she’s in double-digits at all shows the strength of her followers.  This 12% has been done with no major media commercials in either TV or Radio;  no major endorsements, and only yard signs, personal appearances,  and word-of-mouth to propel her campaign.

For such a limited amount of exposure, 12% is damn  near phenomenal.

But also consider that 11% of the electorate is still undecided.  That’s 12% who still will not commit to either of the incumbents, perry or Hutchison.  These 11% are Medina’s for the taking.

2* I’m going to read you a short list of people in the News. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Candidate Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure
Rick Perry 26% 46% 17% 9% 1%
Kay Bailey Hutchison 23% 50% 21% 4% 2%
Debra Medina 12% 31% 20% 9% 28%

Or, to rephrase the results by combining . . .

Candidate Favorable Unfavorable Not sure
Rick Perry 72% 26% 1%
Kay Bailey Hutchison 73% 25% 2%
Debra Medina 33% 29% 28%

Medina is an unknown quantity, so she pretty much splits the field within the margin of error.  Perry and Hutchinson have almost identical Favorable and unfavorable ratings, although Perry has a iny bit more unfavorables than Perry.  While this is very likely a trick of the statistics, it may also be betraying some simmering resentments against Perry.

Or not.  Be interesting to see what the next poll shows after the second debate.

3* Should Kay Bailey Hutchison remain in her position as senator while she is running for Governor?

65% Yes

22% No

13% Not sure

I was somewhat surprised by this. While Hutchison originally was to resign her position to run for governor, it appears the electorate doesn’t trust Harry Reid as far as we could throw him (and ten million Texans could throw his skinny butt pretty damned far, I’d reckon.)

So it would appear Texas would rather have Kay Bailey break a promise than Harry Reid.

4* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

8% Strongly approve

8% Somewhat approve

10% Somewhat disapprove

73% Strongly disapprove

1% Not sure

Ithink this pretty much speaks for itself, as well as backs up the Kay Bailey question. Texans overwhelmingly disapprove of what’s going on in Washington; specifically when the President’s got his name all over it.  And Texans seem to be leading the pack of disapproval, too.

5* How would you rate the job Rick Perry has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

22% Strongly approve

46% Somewhat approve

20% Somewhat disapprove

11% Strongly disapprove

1% Not sure

This is a bit more surprising . For all the grumbling I’ve heard about Governor Perry around San Antonio, it doesn’t seem to show in this poll, and makes me wonder if I’m listening to disaffected Perry supporters, or if the survey sample isn’t being truthful with Rasmussen.  A 68% approval rating for the Governor is a death knell to the Medina and Hutchison campaigns; yet Kay Bailey had almost identical numbers on an earlier question?

I have a feeling this number will shift more the closer we get to the primary; although I could be wrong.

Rasmussen added an interesting note on their website:

Perry jumped out to an 11-point lead – 46% to 35% – in November after Hutchison’s tour of the state to announce her candidacy had turned the race into a toss-up just two months earlier. In mid-July, Perry led Hutchison by 10 points, 46% to 36%.

But Medina, the owner of a medical consulting firm, is the only candidate who is gaining ground, up from four percent (4%) of the GOP vote in November and three percent (3%) in September. Some political analysts have said Medina was the strongest performer in last Thursday night’s GOP gubernatorial debate, although most of the focus was on Perry, who is seeking an unprecedented third term as governor, and Hutchison, a member of the U.S. Senate for the past 16 years.

Count on these numbers changing.  I’m informed that BELO corporation, the sponsor of the second debate, has decided to invite Medina to the second debate, so it will still be a horse race for the forseeable future.

Stay tuned.  Medina is still the one to watch here.

~Johnny~

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Peter Visclosky (D-IN), noted sock puppet of Pennsylvania corruptocrat John Murtha, knew he was going to have problems at his Town Hall Meetings in his district of Indiana. He remains under investigation for bribery in his dealings with a Murtha-connected Lobbying firm, and while the heavily-Democrat voting areas of Lake county would probably continue to vote him back into office blindly, he expected some Tea Party action in Republican Porter County.

Much to his surprise (and mine), Visclosky drew heavy fire in Lake County forums at Hebron as well as the county seat of Crown Point.

So what to do if you’re an “entitled” Democrap who doesn’t like the mean constituents yelling at you? You make sure the cops are there at your forums.

Oh yeah, THAT will endear your constituents to you, for sure!

The turnout for U.S. Rep. Pete Visclosky was bigger in Chesterton — but louder in Portage.

The forum in the Westchester Library Service Center attracted 150 people, while 100 packed the Portage City Council chamber.

At both stops, almost half of the questions on cards and from the floor dealt with the coming House-Senate conference on health care reform bill.

Visclosky again refused to say how he would vote on the bill when it comes out of the joint committee.

Coward. Like we don’t already know he’s voted for almost everything the Obama Administration has rammed through Congress.

One person in Portage asked, “Why are you walking in lockstep with Obama, Reid and Pelosi on their radical agenda?”

The first eruption followed the efforts of Joyce Bennett of Valparaiso to press him on whether health care reform would increase property taxes.  “It’s going to cost Indiana $2.4 billion in additional Medicaid costs,” she said, waving a sheaf of what she said was research that showed health reform is not deficit neutral.

“That is patently false. There’s no connection with property taxes,” Visclosky replied, to general shouts of disapproval.

Excuse me, Congressman Imbecile; she didn’t say anything about Property Taxes. Are you deaf as well as stupid? She said Medicaid Costs — and that’s already in both bills, if you had bothered to read them.

And then it got ugly:

Two Portage police officers stepped forward when a senior citizen, who later declined to identify herself, stood up to vent. “There wouldn’t be this much discussion if we didn’t have so many lies from the House,” she said. She sat down before any action was taken.

And . . . I’m struggling to see what the threat was here that the cops had to intimidate a senior citizen for speaking her mind. Scared of little old ladies, Pete? (Oh, wait — he probably sees Nancy Pelosi on a daily basis; that’s pretty damned scary right there.)

In Valparaiso, one of the questions he faced was whether, if the majority of voters in his district were against health care reform, Visclosky would vote against it. As he has done at other forums, Visclosky demurred.

“I can’t tell you. It’s a work in progress,” he said, adding that while many of those in the audience opposed health care reform, some of the 675,000 people in his district think the proposed reform doesn’t go far enough.

Yes; less than 35% of them according to the polls. So does that mean we go against the will of the majority; or is this still the United States of America, and a democracy, you supercilious twit?

He fought against occasional interruptions, which he pointed out came from people who had done the same at other forums. After one particularly heated exchange, a Valparaiso police officer edged through a doorway into the City Hall chambers. A second officer was stationed in the hallway.

When asked to name “just one thing that government does better than the private sector,” Visclosky said Social Security, drawing both applause and boos as some pointed out the system was going broke.

“I cannot imagine or envision what the average life of a senior citizen would be today if we did not have Social Security,” he said. “I would worry more about the Cubs winning the pennant this year than Social Security going broke,” he said.

Oddly, the Hometown paper of Portage and Chesterton, The Northwest Indiana Times, decided not to cover these events. Not that they’re slanted in their coverage or anything, but they have endorsed Visclosky every time for re-election, as well as endorsing Obama for President.

Probably just an oversight or something.

~Johnny~

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A funny thing happened on the way back from the Debate Thursday night . . .

As I noted in my previous post HERE, Texas’ newspapers seemed to have many commenters who thought Debra Medina had acquitted herself well in the debate on Thursday.

Possibly as a reaction to that apparent groundswell of support, many of these newspapers put up unscientific polls of their readers to see who they thought won the debate.

The results were surprising. The Texans Uniting for Reform and Freedom website, an admittedly anti-Perry Group, shows an overwhelming vote for Medina:

CBS-11 in Dallas had a similar result:

My Fox Dallas-Fort Worth was also similar:

As well as the Fort Worth Star-Telegram too:

In fact, eight of eight polls agree:

Source Perry % Hutchison % Medina % Medina Votes Total
T.U.R.F. 8.7 3.6 87.8 344 392
CBS-11 in Dallas 8 7 76 unk. unk.
My Fox Dallas-Ft Worth 14 16 68 unk. 2517
Fort Worth Star-Telegram 14 15 62 661 1073
Big Country Blog 10 13 71.3 855 unk.
Abilene Reporter-News 7 8 83 1186 1426
Univision TV 4 1 95 363 unk.
KEYE Austin 11.9 16.5 56 unk. unk.

This is where I put my Bachelor’s in Psychology and statistics to work. The first thing I noted is that the sample sizes seem to vary greatly. While two of the polls have the total number of respondents in the 300’s, the others var from around one thousand to around 1500 to around two thousand. Were the Medina campaign trying to taint the results by over-voting the surveys, the sample sizes would be more regular.

But some of the surveys, while including the nubmer of total votes or votes for one candidate, do not have all the information. We can infer this data by doing the math on the known variables, as I have in the revised table below.  (Inferred data is in italics and starred*.)

And with a little re-arrangement for clarity, we have this:

Source Perry % Hutchison % Medina % Medina Votes Total
Univision TV 4 1 95 363 382*
T.U.R.F. 8.7 3.6 87.8 344 392
Fort Worth Star-Telegram 14 15 62 661 1073
Big Country Blog 10 13 71.3 855 1199*
Abilene Reporter-News 7 8 83 1186 1426
My Fox Dallas-Ft Worth 14 16 68 1712* 2517
KEYE Austin 11.9 16.5 56 unk. unk.
CBS-11 in Dallas 8 7 76 unk. unk.

As widely as the sample sizes vary, it would be impossible for a dedicated band of, say, 350 or so Medina followers to influence the results of a poll of 2,517 respondents. This lends credibility to the results, even though the people surveyed in these polls are more likely to be active politically, and more “fired up” for their respective candidates.

Interesting. So it actually appears to show a groundswell of support for Debra Medina among committed political activists.

The survey for We Are Austin.com is actually a survey about the election with ALL candidates, Republican and Democrat, included.

So according to We Are Austin.com,  not only does Debra Medina place far ahead of all other Republican challengers (including the incumbent Governor),  she would even beat the very popular former Houston Mayor Bill White by a 6 to one margin.

And, again, obviously not a scientific poll, but . . . . interesting.

I have it on very good source that the Rasmussen organization will do a survey of the Texas Governor’s Race this coming week.  Apparently this race is generating significant “buzz” in the powers that be.

Awaiting those results as well.

~Johnny~

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The Debate Watch Party for the Texas Gubernatorial Debate at Fatso’s Sports Garden on Bandera Road drew a brisk crowd and several local candidates for local office.

Joseph “Jamie” Martinez is one of the candidates challenging incumbent Democrat Charlie Gonzalez for the House seat in Texas District 20.

Alan Strack is also a candidate for the 20th district seat. I’d vote for him if he promises to wear those jean and Converse high-tops to his swearing-in ceremony.  The look on Pelosi’s face would be priceless.

Clayton Trotter is also running for the 20th District seat. His son was killed in the Battle of Fallujah in Iraq;and he has some strong ideas on defense.

Scott Yellbell was there representing Kiko Canseco, who had a previous commitment

Dr. Robert Lowry, a local physician, is running for the 23rd District seat. His website is www.DrLowryfor Congress.com

Will Hurd is a local graduate of Marshall high School who until recently was a CIA case officer. He decided to run when he became disgustedwith how uninformed the congressmen he breifed actually were on the issues. His website is HERE.

And Brian Underwood is running for the seat in the 28th District.  That’s three congressional districts where the incumbent will NOT run unopposed in Texas this year.  Bravo to all of them!

The Fort Worth Star-Telegram understates the contentiousness of the debate:

DENTON — Texas Gov. Rick Perry opened tonight’s televised gubernatorial debate by declaring “this is the best state in the nation to be living in today.”

His opponents — U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison and former Wharton County GOP Chair Debra Medinatore into Perry as an advocate of big government and the governor who signed the largest tax hike in state history.

Hutchison said Texas lost 300,000 jobs over the past year and said, “That is not a record to be proud of.”

Perry tried to point to the jobs he has created in office and cited positive statistics stretching from November 2007 to November 2008.

“Let’s talk about ’09,” Hutchison replied.

Perry said Texas leads the nation in the development of jobs and it’s one of the top places for small businesses. But Hutchison argued that taxes have increased under Perry.

Medina accused both the governor and senator of being advocates of “big government solutions.”

On another issue, Hutchison was asked by Star-Telegram Austin bureau chief Dave Montgomery to clarify her position on abortion. She said that overturning the landmark Roe v. Wade decision that legalized abortion could lead to “abortion havens.”

The San Antonio Express News agreed; it was one heck of a fight:

DENTON – Gov. Rick Perry and U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison clashed repeatedly in the first Republican gubernatorial debate, speaking over one another and all but calling the other a liar.

Activist Debra Medina pushed for a place apart, describing Perry and Hutchison as politicians who embrace big government solutions to Texas’ problems.  After one overlapping exchange of sniping between Hutchison and Perry, Medina expressed frustration, declaring, “This squabbling isn’t getting us anywhere.”

Hutchison went after Perry’s veracity time and again, while Perry painted Hutchison as out of touch from her years in Washington.

When Hutchison and Medina criticized his record on job growth, Perry said “It really wears me out that we have two people on this stage here who want to tear Texas down,” Perry said.

Hutchison struck at Perry’s record in office, saying he is “trying to have it both ways” as he describes himself as cutting taxes while the state’s tax burden on business rises and the state’s budget grows.

Perry and Hutchison verbally slashed at each other when discussing her 2008 vote for the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), sometimes derisively called the Wall Street bailout bill.

Perry said Hutchison told Texans she would not vote for the measure but then did. Hutchison said she voted for the measure because she was asked to by then-President Bush, but she said the bill was changed to limit how much was spent.

Hutchison then called Perry “disingenuous” because he had written a letter the day before urging congressional action. “You were for it before you were against it,” she said.

In another instance, Perry accused Hutchison of attacking Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst and the Republican legislative leadership on state budget growth and the fact Texas likely will face a $16 billion state budget shortfall in 2011. Hutchison responded by saying Perry is attacking Texas’ Republican congressional delegation.

“I’m criticizing the leadership at the top. The buck stops on your desk,” Hutchison said.

Perry replied, “We’re going to cut it (the budget) just like we did in 2003. We have the experience,” a reference to a $10 billion shortfall that was eliminated without a tax increase.

Medina proposed solving the state’s budget and economic problems by eliminating the property tax and replacing it with higher sales taxes: “The governor and the senator are both going to offer big government solutions.”

When asked about her continuing support for the U.S. Supreme Court decision legalizing abortion, Hutchison said she continues to back it because without the decision there would be “abortion havens.” She said some states would make abortion illegal while others would legalize abortion “even as the baby is coming out of the birth canal.”

All three candidates said they could support repealing the state’s advance directives law that allows hospitals to cut off care for terminally ill patients, but Perry stumbled.   “I always stand by the side of life,” he said, but then had to admit he did not realize the law was passed by the Legislature when he was lieutenant governor, the presiding officer of the state Senate.

The three candidates also all opposed the national health care reform bill being pushed by President Obama and Democrats. But Perry used the discussion to take a swipe at Hutchison for the time she is spending campaigning for governor.

“We have heard it is hanging by a thread. I hope that our senior senator would get back to Washington, D.C., and cut that thread. That’s where she needs to be,” Perry said.

The Dallas Morning News had some interesting reader commentary.  Commenter “kids” said that “perry won…medina came in 2nd…hutchison came in 3rd…“; a sentiment echoed bycommnter EmmaJ.:  “KBH stuttered and stumbled through her answers so much that I was confused.”  Commenter Eric seemed to summarize several others saying “Are you guys blind…..two idiots mumbling about you did this and I did that. 1 Candidate had clear answers….Debra Medina won. You need to tune into the news….they are clearly giving it to Medina. All undecided voters said they liked Medina and were tired of the bickering.

Commenter Zeke agreed:

“Well if you want politics as usual, KBH and Perry are of the same coin, sell outs to special interests through CFR memberships. Perry being groomed for a Palin / Perry ticket in 2012 might appeal to some. Medina seems to be the only candidate that understands Texas must resist D.C. legislation, reduce the size of government and reduce the tax burdens on individual and business.”

Can’t wait for the second debate; although if Medina isn’t included, I’ll probably just skip that catfight.

~Johnny~

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Thge Lamestream Media are once again getting caught with their pants down, and feigning mock surprise that (gasp) conservative candidate Debra Medina appears to be gathering something of a following among the Tea Partiers in Texas.

After being surprised that she was even allowed in the debates at all, the lamestreams are continuing to be surprised that “Watch parties” are springing up across Texas to see the debate by Medina supporters. (San Antonio’s is at Fatso’s Sports Garden on Bandera Road; San Marcos is having on at Gil’s; etc.)

The Houston Chronicle relegates this revelation to the Blogs section:

Medina at the Ramparts

Debra Medina, the Wharton County nurse who makes her statewide debut tomorrow night as the insurgent candidate for the Republican gubernatorial campaign, was in Houston yesterday to unveil her plan to secure the Texas border. On paper, the plan bristles with guns, the Guard and tall, forbidding fences, as you might expect from a candidate who appeals to the Tea Party wing of the Texas GOP. In person, though, Medina is more nuanced (not to mention more earnest and didactic). It’ll be interesting to see which Medina comes across when she crashes the Rick and Kay Show at tomorrow night’s Republican gubernatorial debate in Denton.

Here’s how she talks about border enforcement: “I’m reminded by our Founding Fathers from Virginia, their legislature from Virginia early on passed this resolution — that all men are by nature equally free, independent and have certain inherent rights by which when they enter into a state of society they cannot be deprived or divested from their posterity, namely the enjoyment of life and of liberty, with the means of acquiring and possessing property and pursuing and attaining happiness and safety. All of us — Mexican, Chinese, Asian, Texan — are endowed with those inalienable rights. Texans want to share those. I believe we want to share those with our neighbors — neighbors from Mexico and neighbors from all over the world – but we must adhere in this state of society to the rules. . . . “

That’s no sound bite, obviously. It’s more a sound gulp. Still, I hope Medina gets a chance tomorrow night to engage her better-known competitors in a real debate about the issues, including illegal immigration.

Damn! From the Chronicle, that’s no faint praise; it’s tantamount to an actual endorsement.

The San Antonio Express-News is much more sanguine:

AUSTIN — The first contested Republican primary debate for Texas governor in 20 years is scheduled to air on statewide television Thursday night as Gov. Rick Perry tries to fend off challenges from U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison and activist Debra Medina.

The debate will air live in San Antonio at 7 p.m. on LATV, Channel 12.2; and will be broadcast at 8 p.m. on KLRN-DT and again on Saturday at 10 a.m. on KWEX (Univision) in Spanish and at 7 p.m. on KSAT. It will also be carried live on WOAI radio, 1200 AM.

An Internet live stream of the debate can be obtained from www.TexasDebates.org.

Perry is trying to sell Republican voters on the idea that his policies have slowed government growth, limited personal injury lawsuits, blocked gay marriages and kept the Texas economy healthier than the rest of the nation. Perry is attacking the federal government and portraying Hutchison as a Washington insider.

Hutchison has won three terms in the U.S. Senate. She portrays herself as a conservative fighting against health care reform and global warming legislation in Washington. Hutchison is making the case that Perry’s rhetoric is more conservative than the policies he has implemented, and that it is time for a change.

Medina, who comes from the libertarian wing of the Republican Party, is scoring a victory by being in the debate at all, because it validates her candidacy. She has been blocked from appearing in a second debate set to be hosted Jan. 29, by Belo Corp.

Medina is promoting the idea that states have the right to nullify federal laws that impinge on state sovereignty.

The debate is being sponsored by KERA public television in Dallas, the Fort Worth Star-Telegram, CBS and Univision affiliates in Dallas, the Texas Association of Broadcasters, the Texas State Network and the Freedom of Information Foundation of Texas.

Well, that explains why the Debate is being carried on WOAI radio in San Antonio at 7:00 pm and at 8:00pm on KLRN Public Broadcasting. It’s not an error; the TV is tape-delayed an hour.

Been driving me crazy all day trying to figure that out.

Your humble Alamo City Pundit will be there, of course. Medina supporters tend to be seriously good-looking.

~Johnny~

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Found in my E-mail today.  This ought to put Kay’s and Slick Rick’s knickers in a knot if they aren’t already:

FAIR WARNING: Governor Medina Will Secure the Texas Border

HOUSTON, TX, Tuesday, January 12, 2010 – Debra Medina, Republican Candidate for Governor today released her plan for securing the Texas border in a joint press conference with the U.S. Border Watch.

“Failure to enforce state and federal laws has contributed to abuse of property and humanity all along the Texas border. We can no longer turn a blind eye on the situation and will, in order to protect our citizens and their property, take matters into our own hands to insure peace and protection along the Texas border,” stated Medina.

Medina has engaged in discussions with border sheriffs and will work closely with them to complement their efforts. U.S. Border Watch has recently endorsed Debra Medina stating, “U.S. Border Watch is deeply concerned about the lack of progress being made from both Washington DC and Austin, TX in securing our borders from drug smugglers, terrorists and illegal immigrants. The two candidates for the Republican nomination for Governor who currently hold elected offices (that of Senator and Governor) have repeatedly made promises and then turned their backs on these issues or completely reversed their campaign promises. They have consistently failed to protect the rule of law and the citizens of this great state.”

“Medina knows the U.S. and Texas Constitutions and the power that lies in the rule of law. This is, after all is said and done, a rule of law issue. Debra Medina has the courage to enforce those laws that protect the people and the property of Texas from the ravages of an unsecured border.”

Recent reports by the Texas Department of Public Safety document increased efforts by drug cartels on both sides of the border to “co-opt our children to support their criminal operations.”i These reports provide even more evidence that Texas must act and must act now to protect her citizens and their children.  Steven McCraw, director of the Texas Department of Public Safety recently commented, “The concern is that the gangs are now being used by the cartels on both sides of the border for hit squads, human smuggling and counter surveillance.”ii

“Citizens have been seriously disappointed by the campaign double-speak from both Senator Hutchison and Governor Perry on this issue. We’ve heard their rhetoric. It’s time to get serious about protecting the Texas border. Debra is the only one who will take bold and decisive action to secure the Texas border,” said campaign manager Penny Freeman.

Medina’s plan to secure the border includes:

  • Calling sufficient numbers of Texas National Guard and Texas State Guard members to active duty to support local law enforcement particularly along areas in between legal ports of entry to combat drug and human trafficking;
  • Notifying Mexican authorities that the Texas Border will be secure and no entry will be allowed without proper documentation;
  • Insuring that Texas District Attorneys and Texas Attorney General exercise full prosecutorial power and have sufficient resources to enforce human slavery and child labor laws to their fullest extent;
  • Assisting local and state law enforcement in deporting individuals convicted of violating state or federal law;
  • Insuring that private citizens have the ability to protect themselves and their property without fear;
  • Insuring that the interests of Texans are protected by seeking legislation and enforcement actions that respect Texas sovereignty in the face of international treaties, like NAFTA, that violate Texas state sovereignty; These treaties create poverty in Mexico and Central America and benefit corporate investors. This poverty drives people to migrate north. Insuring that the interests of Texans are protected, Debra Medina will interpose, support nullification and declare unconstitutional all international treaties that violate Texas state sovereignty. We will not recognize those treaties or enforce their regulation or taxation.
  • Eliminating social incentives to illegal immigration by seeking legislation prohibiting use of state funds for service or benefit of illegal aliens.

“This is a decisive plan that makes sense to the citizens of Texas—Anglo and Mexican American alike.  But common sense is in short supply in Austin and Washington and our current governor and ranking senator have had long enough to enforce our current immigration laws or find new solutions,” stated Freeman.  “They have been insulated from the problems facing We Texans for way too long. Debra is the only candidate who truly cares about We Texans and will act to protect Texas.”

iDPS Warns Parents: Mexican Cartels and Gangs Recruiting in Texas Schools. Texas Department of Public Safety Information for the News Media, Nov. 17, 2009

iiTrahan, Jason.  “Mexican Drug Cartels Recruiting Texas Teens, State Warns” Dallas Morning News, Nov. 18, 2009

Visit the Medina For Texas website at http://www.medinafortexas.com.

The part that caught my eye was where it said “Debra Medina will interpose, support nullification and declare unconstitutional all international treaties that violate Texas state sovereignty.” Think about THAT statement for a second. When the second-largest state of the Union which comprises almost half of the southern border with Mexico all by ourselves starts to enforce immigration law and decides to arbitrarily nullify the NAFTA agreement — that’s going to get somebody’s attention but quick!

Meanwhile, tomorrow is the first Republican Gubernatorial Debate at 8:00 pm on your local Texas PBS Station. The Watch Party in San Antonio is HERE:

Thursday, January 14, 2010
Time:
7:30pm – 10:00pm
Location:
Fatso’s Sports Garden
Street:
1704 Bandera Rd

Your own humble Alamo City Pundit will be there with his camera to document the crowd and the fun. Be there!

~Johnny~

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Smoke Break Blog has a fascinating article that’s a real must-read. It it’s true (and it certainly seems like something the Democraps would try – as well as a very plausible scenario) it would overwrite 234 years of black-book law and completely undermine the American tradition of representative democracy in this country forever.

Yeah, it’s THAT serious.

The real reason that Dodd(CT),  Dorgan (ND), Kaufman (DE), and Burris (IL), along with Colorado Governor Bill Ritter are leading the rat charge off the sinking ship is because in the larger progressive liberal Democrat scheme of things, they’re expendable.

How can they be expendable when the Democrats need their 60-vote majority in the Senate? Let us count the ways. The first answer is contained in three little words: “universal voter registration”.

Quick! How many felons can you spot in this picture?

The second answer is that odious little poster child for all things fraudulent and illegal: ACORN. Under investigation in numerous states for their 2008 “assistance” to the Obama campaign, when something as precious as a 60-seat Democrat Senate majority hangs in the balance, you can bet your bottom dollar that there will be hundreds of thousands, if not millions of false voters registered and as many fraudulent ballots cast.

For answer number three, we can’t forget granting amnesty to illegal immigrants. Aka giving criminals given an easy path to citizenship. While it has been reported that House members of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus have threatened to vote against any health care bill that doesn’t allow illegal (criminal) immigrants access, word is slipping out that they’ll back down if they get an agreement from Obama that health care coverage for criminals who “earn” a path to citizenship will be addressed in an immigration bill. A bill rumored to be already in the planning stages. Then beholden to their savior, the Democrats are counting on their votes.

Smoke Break Blog has the rest — and it’s a real primer on what to watch for; what to fight against; and when to sound the alarms.  And if any single part of this plan is introduced by the Congress – they’re alarms that need to be sounded.

~Johnny~

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Here in Texas, 11 of 20 Republican incumbents have drawn challengers. In nearly every case, Tea Party connections are apparent.

And Tea Party challengers aren’t limited to the national races. Republicans have more internal fights to settle than Democrats. Seventeen Republican [State] House incumbents must shake off challenges in the March 2 primary before they can turn their eyes to November.

GOP strategists credit the Tea Parties the challenges to Reps. Charlie Geren of Fort Worth, Todd Smith of Euless, Vicki Truitt of Keller, Tommy Merritt of Longview, Delwin Jones of Lubbock, and Hopson of Jacksonville.

Debra Medina, the Tea Party candidate for Governor, is challenging both the incumbent Governor “Slick” Rick Perry and Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison (RINO-TX) for the Republican nomination.   She’s smart to do this; it means the RINOs and the conservative will fight it out in the primary, and enable the Republicans to to field a unified candidate for the General election against the likely Democrat candidate, Mayor Bill White of Houston.

Debra is gaining quite a following on Facebook (click HERE), and is generating strong interest in the news media as well. I spoke with Debra Falk of Rasmussen Reports.  They are planning to begin surveying the Texas Gubernatorial Race just after the PBS Republican Debates next Thursday the 14th (at 8:00 pm – check your local listings.)

So, it’s beginning to generate National Interest as well.

Local Dallas TV station CBS-11 is paying attention as well:

And for you completists out there, here’s Part II:

And Part III:

And if YOU haen’t heard about Debra Medina, you really need to make the time to watch these little videos.

Get a move on.

~Johnny~

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Got this notice in my e-mail this week, and I’ve been puzzling over it since:

Republican Party of Texas Welcomes
New Executive Director

January 5, 2010
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Austin – The Republican Party of Texas starts the New Year off with a new leader.  Chairman Cathie Adams has selected Jesse Lewis to become the Party’s next Executive Director. Mr. Lewis comes to the Party having served here before, as a Field Representative, a Statewide Field Director and its Deputy Political Director from 1999 to 2003. His extensive background includes everything from grassroots work training thousands of candidates, campaign managers and volunteers, to serving on the executive staff of a large state agency, overseeing 90 employees.  He also served as Chief of Staff to Texas House Members Arlene Wohlgemuth and Sid Miller.

“Jesse is a remarkable Texan, a remarkable Republican and he’ll be a remarkable leader for our Party,” said Chairman Adams.  “Having him at the helm as we enter the crucial 2010 election means that we will have a sure hand who has steadily led many winning campaigns, and whose experience covers every aspect of state politics.  We’re excited to have him bring his knowledge and enthusiasm to the Republican Party of Texas.”

Okay, the first thing that stuck out right away and put spit in my eye was the “Chairman Cathie Adams has selected Jesse Lewis” thing.

“Selected”?  What is this “Selected” Crap?!? This is Texas here.  We were an Republic before we were even a state, and good men died at the Alamo and at Goliad so that free Texans could be free to vote for their representatives.

So, again I would ask, what’s this “Selected’ Crap, dammit?

So I started looking into Jesse Lewis, whom I’ve never heard of, and don’t know from Adam. May be a nice guy, but I don’t know.  So I Yahoo Searched “Jesse Lewis Texas.”

Nothing.  Nothing on Wikipedia, Answers, Bing, or Ask.com,either.  Google was suspiciously silent as well, except for this one entry under the Texas Workforce Commission:

Assuming this is the same Jesse Lewis (and Cathie Adams’ statement is deliberately vague in this regard, isn’t it?), it means Jesse Lewis works for the state government in Austin as essentially a PR shill for the Perry Administration.

And believe me, NOTHING and NOBODY works for Governor Perry that hasn’t been appointed by or is fiercely loyal to Governor Perry.

So (and, again,assuming this is the correct Jesse Lewis), we now have a Perry PR shill as Republican Party Chairman in Texas. The vagueness of the statement by Chairman Cathie Adams makes me think it’s a deliberate attempt to soft-soap his background as a PR guy.

Lovely.

This ham-handed attempt to stage-manage Governor Perry’s re-election is just one of the many reasons I’m endorsing Debra Medina for Governor of Texas.

~Johnny~

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GM’s Place Blog has also endorsed Debra Medina for Governor of Texas:

Sorry Governor Goodhair and Senator Bighair, you two just don’t cut it as conservatives. And boy, do we need conservatives, ones who believe in the Constitution, one who believes that property taxes are killing us and who will hold high the 10 Amendments to the Constitution; you know, like the 2nd, the 9th and the 10th, especially the 10th.

GM’s Place is proud to endorse Debra Medina (true) Republican for Governor! I’ve listened to her, gone over her website Debra Medina for Texas Governor, and tried to come up with a single reason to support our current Governor or his opponent from the US Senate. Needless to say, I couldn’t.

She’s a good lady and a good conservative, GM. You won’ be sorry.

And just in case you haven’t heard of her yet, the Medina for Governor website is HERE.

~Johnny~

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From Rasmussen Reports today:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 25% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty-six percent (46%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -21 That’s the lowest Approval Index rating yet recorded for this President (see trends).

Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republicans Strongly Disapprove as do 52% of unaffiliated voters. Forty-seven percent (47%) of Democrats Strongly Approve.

For the second straight day, the update shows the highest level of Strong Disapproval yet recorded for this President. That negative rating had never topped 42% before yesterday. However, it has risen dramatically since the Senate found 60 votes to move forward with the proposed health care reform legislation. Most voters (55%) oppose the health care legislation and senior citizens are even more likely than younger voters to dislike the plan.

One bright spot in the numbers for the President is that 51% of voters still say former President George W. Bush is more to blame for the nation’s economic woes. Just 41% point the finger of blame at the current President.

Did you catch the note about Healthcare being linked with the new record Disapproval Ratings? Notice also how that red line takes a sudden spike starting last Saturday?

Honestly – this Narcissist President is too dumb to see the damned signs. Really!

~Johnny~

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I went to a campaign event for the Debra Medina event yesterday here in San Antonio. I liked her immediately, and for a lot of reasons.

Debra is a nurse, like I am. She started her career in one of the hospitals I work at now. She’s a small businesswoman, and I’ve had my own business too. I met her husband, and liked him, too. She supports the Tea-Parties and the 9-12 movement, too.

Her Website has a lot of her positions delineated, but I’ll summarize the ones she talked about that I like the most. She feels out freedom is based in property ownership, and anything that abridges our rights should be done away with. That means property taxes, which she wants to abolish in Texas.

It gets better. She’s a firm believer in the Tenth Amendment, and believes Texas has the right (like any state) to draft Nullification legislation for any federal laws that violate the sovereignty of the state.

Like Health Care “Reform.” or Environmental Protection. Or Gun Control — she’d like to abolish gun registration in Texas entirely. And Immigration — securing the border is one of her top priorities. Any number of issues the Perry Administration is not defending the rights of Texans currently.

I’ve met Kay Bailey Hutchison several years ago. I wasn’t that impressed. I’ve never met Rick Perry; but I continue to be unimpressed with his more notable blunders. His plan to vaccinate all teenage schoolgirls against cervical cancer was just plain wrong on a variety of levels. his support of the Trans-Texas corridor has earned  him a lot of hard feelings; and his using political appointees to control state government smacks of patronage.

Debra is completing some position questions for me that I plan to publish later this week when she gets them back to me.  But right now I have no problem wholeheartedly endorsing Debra Medina for Governor of Texas in the primary March 2nd.

More importantly, I think she could win this.  Rick Perry only had 39% of the vote last election, and that is a do-able number.

Check out Her Website HERE.

~Johnny~

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In a surge from far, far behind incumbent governor Charlie Crist, Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio has now tied Crist in polling for the 2010 Senate race:

Governor Charlie Crist and former state House Speaker Marco Rubio are now tied in the 2010 race for the Republican Senate nomination in Florida.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely GOP Primary voters finds Crist and Rubio each with 43% of the vote. Five percent (5%) prefer another candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided.

Crist’s support has fallen from 53% in August to 49% in October. Rasmussen Reports noted at the time, “The fact that Crist has fallen below 50% in a primary against a lesser known opponent suggests potential vulnerability.”

Rubio’s name recognition has grown in recent months and he is now viewed Very Favorably by 34% of Likely Primary Voters. That’s up from 18% in August. As his name recognition increased, Rubio’s support in the polls has jumped from 31% in August to 43% today.

While ot mentioned directly, President Screw-Up seems to be somewhat directly responsible for Charlie Crist’s woes in the polls:

Crist, well known throughout the state, has seen his ratings go in the opposite direction. Just 19% now have a Very Favorable opinion of him, a figure that represents a double digit decline since August. Crist angered many conservatives in the state when he embraced President Obama’s $787-billion economic stimulus plan. While the Republican establishment has endorsed Crist, many prominent GOP conservatives including Mike Huckabee, South Carolina Senator Jim DeMint and former Bush adviser Karl Rove are backing Rubio.

An interesting note to all the Tea Partiers at the end of the article:

However, if a Tea Party candidate is in the race, the picture changes dramatically. A separate, three-way Generic Ballot test finds that Democrats attract 36% of the vote, while the Tea Party candidate picks up 23% and Republicans finish third at 18%.

This suggests — strongly suggests — that Rubio has massive Tea Party support; and given Crist’s strong RINO inclinations, the Cubano-Americano Rubio looks better and better to real Conservatives.

Watch for Crist to get ugly after the first of the year.

~Johnny~

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Went to the Tea Party meeting this afternoon and met some folks promoting their candidates. All Texans might want to check out the website of Debra Medina for Texas Governor. She’s a rancher a nurse; chairman of her local Republican Party, and has sued the state Republican Party over the 2000 convention.

She’s got some spunk; that’s for sure.

Plus she’s a homeschooler, pro-life, and her folks there put up a very spirited defense of how Debra understands the Tenth Amendment as a state way to nullify Federal overreaching.  One of the ladies there made the point that our current governor Rick Perry only won by 39% last time, and although he’s been talking tough this last year on the 10th amendment, has hd several flawed mis-steps, including the plan to require mandatory vaccinations for all Texas schoolgirls for cervical cancer, as well as the Trans-Texas corridor fiasco.

For all you Libertarians out there, she’s a ery Libertarian sort of lady.  I am, of course, sending my 2010 questionnaire to get a better grsp of her positions. I’ll let you know.

For my San Antonio readers, Robert Abaham at Campaign for Texas isworking to get Dr. Lowry elected our next Texas Representative in TX-23 (north and west side of SA.)  Ciro Rodriguez stood up against the Stimulus, but has been wishy-washy ever since.   Questionaire forthcoming, of course.

Watch this space.

~Johnny~

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You might remember my post from last week whereRasmussen Reports predicted the collapse of support for Senator Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas if she voted for the Healthcare Bill?

Well, it’s coming true with a cast-iron vengeance.

Rasmussen Reports has today’s scoop:

Senator Blanche Lambert Lincoln has found herself right in the middle of the national debate over health care, and that’s a tough spot as she prepares to face Arkansas voters in 2010.

As she did in September, Lincoln trails four possible Republican challengers in the latest Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 survey. In fact, support for the incumbent ranges from only 39% to 41% in these match-ups.

The two-term senator, who was reelected with 54% of the vote in 2004, appears more vulnerable because of her visible and pivotal role in the Senate debate over health care. Lincoln was the last Democrat to vote for allowing the debate to formally begin, and she has taken pains to point out that a vote to begin debate is not a vote for the bill.

And apparently the Arkansas voters don’t give a hoot about that fine, fine difference — do hey?

Seventy-four percent (74%) of Arkansas voters believe the plan will increase the federal budget deficit, and 83% think it is likely to lead to higher taxes on the middle class. Again, the numbers from Arkansas show more skepticism than the national averages.

The tide has very strongly started to turn against the hard-head Democraps. Between now and the inauguration anniversary January 20th, expect to see a LOT more of this.

~Johnny~

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The bad news is: The Health Care Bill is moving to the floor of the Senate, where Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will use every trick in the book to get it rammed through. We can thank Senator Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) for this:

Sens. Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas and Mary Landrieu of Louisiana waited until Saturday to say they would vote yes for a floor debate. Sen. Ben Nelson of Nebraska announced Friday his support for moving the bill forward.

All three cautioned that their votes to start debate should not be construed a support for the bill in its current form.

Which just means they’re too chicken to say they’re going to vote for the bill; but they will. Mary Landieu is already bought and paid for; the others will follow.

The good news is that Blanche Lincoln’s seat looks like an easy pick-up for Republicans next election:

That look is not Statesmanship; That look is Nausea, and Dread.

In a telephone survey of 501 likely voters in Arkansas, conducted on November 16-17, 2009, voters reported opposing the healthcare changes with only 29% saying they backed it while 64% said they were opposed. Fifty percent of likely voters indicated strong opposition to the plan while only 17% indicated strong support.

In an initial match-up of Lincoln and possible Republican candidate State Senator Gilbert Baker, the incumbent, Lincoln, holds a narrow 41-39 lead.

But when voters were asked how they would vote in a Lincoln-Baker race if Lincoln voted in favor of the healthcare legislation, the incumbent Democrat fell behind her possible GOP challenger 37-49. In all, 48% of likely Arkansas voters said they would be less likely to back Lincoln’s re-election if she supports the healthcare bill with 38% saying they were much less likely to support her in that event.

See full polling results here.

And Lincoln is up for re-election in 2010. Her vote for the Healthcare bill is by no means a sure thing . . . unless she otes for the bill’s final passage. First casualty of 2010, perhaps?

Big Honkin’ Texas Hat Tip: Libertarian Republican

~Johnny~

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Spiffy little interview with Rubio as he seeks to overthrow Governor Charlie Crist in Crist’s quest for the open Senate Seat in Florida.  Rubio is a Cubano-American who’s an actual honest-to-God conservative.  Rubio, who is the former Speaker of the Florida House, is lightning-quick popping out answers to the poorly-prepared Scarborough:

(Before watching the video, say “Crist’s Quest” three times fast.  Won’t prove anything, but it’s fun to try.)

Watch & Learn, my young Padawans . . .

~Johnny~

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