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Posts Tagged ‘Election 2010’

From Peter Morrison this week:

New information provides hard evidence of Joe Straus’ pro-abortion and anti-family-values agenda.

The fight to replace liberal, pro-abortion Joe Straus as Texas Speaker of the House continues. If you have not contacted your state representative, please do so and encourage them to vote for a true conservative for Speaker. You can find who represents you here:

http://www.fyi.legis.state.tx.us/

(more…)

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THIS, while disgusting, is surely just another symptom of people with too much power being corrupted by it:

Guess what part of the Aide's anatomy Rep. Souter is describing here.

Rep. Mark Souder (R-Ind.) is resigning from Congress after telling colleagues he had an affair with a female aide.

Souder said his resignation – which will take effect Friday — is “the best decision for my family, the people of northeast Indiana and our country.”

Sounder and his wife have three adult children.

Souder’s staff informed Minority Leader John Boehner’s staff of the affair on Sunday. Boehner and Souder spoke on Monday, and Boehner told the Indiana Republican he should resign, according to GOP sources.

“Boehner has been perfectly clear that he will hold our members to the highest ethical standards,” said Michael Steel, Boehner’s spokesman.

Souder was an aide to former Sen. Dan Coats (R-Ind.) before being elected to Congress. Coats is running this year to return to the Senate.

A hard-line conservative, Souder recently survived a tough GOP primary in the Hoosier State, edging two opponents who held him under 50 percent. Souder’s Republican rivals criticized Souder over his support for the Troubled Asset Relief Program and Cash for Clunkers programs.

Notice how Souder didn’t offer to resign until John Boehner told him to do it? I’m sorry, Rep Souder, but whose interests are you really looking out for here — yours or your constituents? After Republicans have been stung recently by Florida Governor Charlie Crist’s decision to bolt the party and run as an independent, I’m sure Boehner’s “talk” was brief, and to the point.

Now you might think that the Republicans in the Third District would seek to appoint one of the other candidates who lost to Souder to fill his seat – and you’d be wrong. For one thing, Indiana law only allows seats to the House to be filled by special elections. as Northwest Indiana Politics can explain to you here. The other problem is that the best man for the job may not have been running.

The best man for the job was, very likely, recently defeated Senatorial candidate Marvin Stutzman, a Tea Party favorite.

State Sen. Marlin Stutzman, who came up short in a Republican Senate primary this month, has told associates he will announce his candidacy for the seat Rep. Mark Souder (R-Ind.) resigned from Tuesday.

Stutzman, state Rep. Randy Borror, Fort Wayne City Councilwoman Liz Brown, and Fort Wayne attorney Phil Troyer, who came up short in his primary challenge to Souder earlier this month, have all begun to inform party leaders they will seek Souder’s seat, according to a local Indiana GOP official.

Other possible candidates for the seat include, state Senate President Pro Tempore David Long and Bob Thomas, a wealthy auto dealer who drew more than 30 percent of the vote in a self-funded primary challenge to Souder.

Indiana Republicans will begin a process within the next 30 days to choose a special election candidate for the House seat. The selection process will begin with a precinct caucus meeting. Since Indiana already held its primary elections earlier this month, local party leaders will convene again later in the year to choose a nominee for the regularly scheduled November election.

Somehow I don’t think the timing of Souder’s announcement was coincidental. Had he resigned earlier his seat could have been filled during the primaries. Rep. Boehner had to TELL him to resign; a sign he was unwilling to do so. And he resigned when all attention was diverted to the primaries being held in Ohio, Arkansas, and Kentucky.

And, I’m sorry, but a man who will cheat on his wife is a moral and ethical scumbag who will tell anyone anything; so we can’t trust a thing he says.

Big Honkin’ Hat Tip to Northwest Indiana Poltics’ Steve Dalton for the tip on this.

One down, another 400+ to go.

~Johnny~

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Debra Medina has graciously taken time to participate in my “2010 Project” which gets the candidates to answer questions pertinent to the coming election.  And some of the answers are NOT what you might expect from the candidate if you’ve been listening to the drive-by media:

Please answer Yes or No to indicate whether you support the following issues. You may include up to a fifty word response to each topic:

• Abortion on demand - No. 100% Pro-Life from conception to natural death.

• Concealed Carry Reciprocity Laws for all states – Yes. States have the right to make their own laws. I fully support the right of the individual to keep and bear arms without permit or registration.

• English as the official language of America. - Yes. We acknowledge America is made up of immigrants with diverse backgrounds and languages, and that to have a lawful society means to have one that can understand the law as it is written.

• Fair Tax – one universal 20% tax across the board vs a universal federal sales tax – No. The problem is spending. The federal government currently funds a multitude of unconstitutional programs and departments that need to be repealed and those responsibilities and powers returned to the states and the people.

• ID checks at voting places – No. Currently we issue driver’s licenses to illegal aliens. Unless we stop doing that, checking ID at the polling place is not going to prevent voter fraud.

• Immigration Reform, to include a Border Fence with Mexico - Yes, in those areas that it makes sense to have a fence. We are committed to working with the border sheriffs and respecting the private property rights of the land owners along the border.

• Marriage being defined as being between one man and one woman. Yes, but this has to be decided by the states, not federally. The Defense of Marriage Act was voted on by the Texas voters and signed into law in 2003 and is consistent with my beliefs.

• No tax increases may be passed without 35ths of Congress voting for the tax increase. No. There should not be any spending increases at all until Congress returns to its proper duties and limits under the Constitution.

• “One Payer” Universal Health Care vs. Health Care Reform of the system we have now. No government involvement in health care beyond enforcing contracts. The only “reform” needed is removing unconstitutional regulations and monopoly powers that prevent the operation of the market and give advantage to lobbyists and special interests over the people.

• Repeal of the Economic Stimulus Package. Yes, the stimulus is entirely unconstitutional and Congress should repeal its mistakes. Whether it is repealed or not, each state is sovereign and needs to aggressively use interposition and nullification to negate unlawful federal action.

• Repeal of the Federal Income tax. Yes. If man is not allowed to keep the product of his labor, he stops producing. Man must own his property, whether it’s physical property, or the product of his own labor.

• Repeal of the TARP Bailout Bill. Yes, the bailout is entirely unconstitutional and Congress should repeal its mistakes. Whether it is repealed or not, each state is sovereign and needs to aggressively use interposition and nullification to negate unlawful federal action.

• Second Amendment Gun Rights. The right of the individual to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed. Permits equate to asking for permission, and registration leads to confiscation. Neither has any place in our society.

• Term Limits (12 years each) for senators and Congressmen. We absolutely support term limits on all offices, but they are most properly and directly implemented at the party level as each party utilizes its power to control who is allowed to run on its ballot.

Union “Card Check” Law to abolish secret ballots. No. Government has no place setting terms or regulations on how free citizens may associate or bargain with each other.

Meanwhile, the Medina camp remains confident when they’re getting press like this:

It’s working. Previously unheard of by the vast majority of Texans, Medina has set the race for governor on fire, upsetting the primary contest between the incumbent, Rick Perry, and Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison.

Those gathered to see Medina in Lytle loved her. Young and old, men and women, Latino and white, listened with rapt attention as she outlined her agenda and asked them to back her in this week’s first round of voting. If she can beat Hutchison into second place, she can secure a runoff against Perry. That would raise the possibility – distant but real – of a Tea Party activist capturing the government of the second biggest state in America. The Tea Party movement would have gone from being a bunch of ragtag protesters to heading one of the largest single economies in the world. “If we can change politics as usual in Texas, then we can change politics as usual across America. This is not just about Texas, but about changing the whole country,” Medina told the Observer before addressing her supporters in Lytle.

She is not alone in that ambition. Across America other extreme candidates have emerged on the Republican right to challenge familiar party figures with a fiery mix of Tea Party-inspired populism. In Arizona, Senator John McCain is facing a tough re-election fight against a former congressman, JD Hayworth, who has expressed public doubts as to whether Obama was born a legitimate American citizen. In Florida the moderate Republican governor, Charlie Crist, is lagging badly in his own primary election to rightwing challenger Marco Rubio, who has the backing of local Tea Party groups.

On the right of US politics, this is big stuff. Instead of forcing mainstream Republicans to woo them for their votes, the rightwingers are now bidding for power. It is an attempt at revolution that could have huge meaning for America and the world, especially given the disastrous showing of Democrats in recent polls and elections. Medina knows this. After her speech she ended with a plea to her audience. “We can win this race,” she said, then held up her hand and squeezed two fingers together. “It is this close.”

The American way, she said, was simple. “There are two rights essential to freedom: private property and gun ownership.”  Such thoughts find fertile ground in Texas.  One poll puts her as high as 24%, just behind Hutchison and within reach of catching her and forcing Perry into a runoff.  Medina believes she is not really in third place, citing the fact that the polls only telephone previous Republican primary voters, whereas she is bringing in thousands of new supporters. “I feel fantastic. I think we can win this,” she said in Lytle.

Meanwhile Glenn Beck has come under increasing criticism first for his remarks at CPAC last week, as well as for his Johnny-come-Lately conversion to Man-Made Global warming, even as the theory has come to be grossly discredited. In fact, more than a few bloggers have speculated that the notable absence of Michelle Malkin from CPAC (where she is a frequent flyer) may be related to Beck’s giving the keynote address on Saturday night. (Malkin had no comment, although she did make an unannounced visit to blogger’s row at CPAC.)

And while we’re skirting the subject, can I address the whole blow-up between Beck and Medina. Medina on Beck’s radio show said that “there’s some very good arguments and I think the American people have not seen all the evidence there.”
This is a far, far cry from saying that the U.S. Government blew up the World Trade Center — in any way, shape, or form. Because — can I just say it — I too believe there’s a lot of evidence out there the American public hasn’t seen, either. Let’s look at what we DO know:

  • The 9-11 Commission acknowledged in their report that the CIA and other government agencies had credible evidence of an impending terror attack for September.
  • The government also knew in several cases that commercial airliners would be used in these attacks — and frankly did not believe these reports. (Who would have before 9-11 anyway?)
  • The government was in many cases prohibited from passing this information between agencies by an Executive Order. The CIA and FBI could not share and corroborate each other’s evidence.

And whose fault would that be? The previous President’s — Bill Clinton. But with the 9-11 Commission packed with Democrats, this information has not been widely publicized.

Is that what Debra Medina meant?  I dunno — but it’s what I believe.  And it’s consistent with the evidence presented in the 9-11 Commission report. Does that make me a “Truther”?  Hell No — and neither do Medina’s words make her one either.

I do have it on good authority (but not currently able to document it)  from a local Radio station manager in the San Antonio area that since Medina’s interview with Beck, his ratings are down significantly, rebounding to about 10% less than the previous levels.  Some stations have even cut back Beck;s three-hour airtime to two hours, and about 10 stations nationwide have dropped him entirely in the last two weeks.

So, in case it’s escaped you, I’m still voting for Debra Medina, and you Texans should, too.

Election is Tuesday.  Get out and vote — make a difference.

~Johnny~

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The Wall Street Journal has noted Debra Medina’s impact on the Texas Gubernatorial race for the third time this month:

A wild Texas GOP primary is getting wilder. A new poll out Tuesday shows Tea Partier Debra Medina trailing Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison by a mere four points, within the poll’s margin of error.

The Public Policy Poll shows Governor Rick Perry leading the field for the Republican gubernatorial nomination with 39% of GOP voters. But he would need a majority of the vote on March 2 to secure an outright victory — any less and he’s headed toward a run-off. Not only is such a run-off looking more likely with the rise of Ms. Medina, formerly the Wharton County GOP chairwoman. But if Ms. Hutchison doesn’t move quickly to shore up her support among conservatives, the candidate who once polled as Texas’s favorite politician may end up the odd woman out.

The PPP poll shows Ms. Hutchison at 28% and Ms. Medina at 24% – up from 16% in last week’s Rasmussen poll, and up from 4% since November. A former nurse and state coordinator for the Campaign for Liberty, Ms. Medina is appealing to voters with populist rhetoric that takes aim at incumbents of both parties. “We Texans are undoubtedly unhappy with how this state has been run for the past decade, which includes having unfunded federal mandates shoved down our throats. The polls demonstrate that dissent loud and clear,” says Ms. Medina.

Not only does Ms. Medina lead among those GOP voters who say they disapprove of Washington; ironically, she leads among those who consider themselves liberal Republicans. Ms. Medina’s pitches to eliminate property tax, protect gun ownership and secure the border overlap most with Mr. Perry’s populist platform. Yet Ms. Medina still seems to be drawing voters away from Ms. Hutchison, not Mr. Perry. Since September, Ms. Hutchison has fallen 11 points in the polls, while Mr. Perry has gained six points and Ms. Medina has catapulted by 20.

Ms. Medina’s biggest problem now is a lack of funding. As of Jan. 21, she had only $68,000 in the bank compared to the $10 million that Mr. Perry and Ms. Hutchison each have socked away.

You can see the Public Policy Poll results HERE.

Medina’s main problem seems to be that of name recognition, which may soon become a non-issue, as she’s scheduled to be a last-minute guest on the Glenn Beck show (the nation’s #3 rated talk show) Thursday morning. You can listen live HERE. (Top left corner icons.)

This may well be the Tipping Point of the Texas Governor’s race. If Kay Bailey Hutchison is surpassed by Debra Medina, it may become a real snakefight from that point on.

~Johnny~

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Growing up on the Great Lakes we used to have a saying: “You either Fish, or Cut Bait.” It has the same meaning as what we say here today in Texas: “Either S**t or get off the pot.”

Time to commit, Texas. And not making a decision already IS a decision to stay with Governor “More-Of-The-Same” Perry.

Rasmussen Reports has a new survey of likely Texas voters out yesterday:

Texas Survey of 538 Likely GOP Primary Voters

Conducted February 1, 2010; By Rasmussen Reports

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

1* Suppose the Republican Primary for the 2010 Governor’s race were held today.  Would you vote for Rick Perry, Kay Bailey Hutchison or Debra Medina?

44% Perry

29% Hutchison

16% Medina

11% Not sure

The Good News: Medina has increased her share of voter 4%, the only candidate who has increased. The bad news is that most of that came from the failing campaign of Kay Bailey Hutchison. Very little came from Perry. And 4% every two weeks is not enough to pass Kay Bailey Hutchison in March for the runoff election.

2* I’m going to read you a short list of people in the News. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Candidate Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure
Rick Perry 24% 56% 15% 4% 1%
Kay Bailey Hutchison 18% 49% 23% 8% 1%
Debra Medina 16% 34% 21% 8% 21%

The bad news: Perry has the lowest Unfavorable ratings of any candidate. The Good news is thatMedina has a huge “Not Sure” contingent that just want to know more about her.  These are the folks she needs to reach, and who need to Fish or Cut Bait.

3* How would you rate the job Rick Perry has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

18% Strongly approve

56% Somewhat approve

16% Somewhat disapprove

9% Strongly disapprove

1% Not sure

That’s a 72% Approval rating, but 56% have some reservations of Perry’s term as Governor.  Note also 25% disapprove of Perry, which is almost identical to the 21% who aren’t sure about Medina.  Not that they are the same group, but surely there’s some amount of overlap of the two.


The second part of the poll released today has still more Good News for Medina:

The surprise, as in the new Rasmussen Reports survey of the GOP gubernatorial primary, is the growing strength of Debra Medina, a businesswoman active in the state’s Tea Party movement. Medina now edges White 41% to 38%. Last month, White had a 44% to 38% lead on her. In this contest, six percent (6%) favor some other candidate, but a more sizable 16% are undecided.

So Debra Medina is just as viable a candidate against a Bill White candidacy as either Perry or Hutchison. That’s very good news for the Medina camp.

The question remains, however; Are those “Somewhat approve”-ing voters going to make the move, or just settle for “Governor Somewhat?

If you’re one of those voters, you should watch this video.  Just a few minutes; make the time:

If you feel you don’t know enough about Debra Medina, YouTube has over thirteen pages of interviews, debates, and news pieces about her starting HERE.

No excuses.  No reason not to be informed on your choices.

And you only have yourselves to blame if Governor Somewhat bankrupts the Texas economy in a year or two — which is what’s looking more and more likely all the time.

Are you gonna Fish? Or Just sit there cuttin’ bait all night?

Me — I’m gonna catch some fish, Texas. Let’s Go.

~Johnny~

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BELO-TV sponsored the second Texas Gubernatorial debates tonight, and it was a knock-down, drag-out fight. Fortunately for the audience, that included the fights between the candidates themselves as well as the fights between the panelists and the candidates.

To watch the replays of the debates, you can find them here:

Observations on my part of the debate: first, I was well ensconced at Fatso’s Sports bar with 500 of my close personal friends at a Debate Watch party. BELO could not have done more to favor the incumbents, first by scheduling the debate on a Friday night when few (if any) would be home to watch it, and dragging on for a long time the question of whether independent Debra Medina would be allowed to attend, even after her stellar showing last time.

But that’s just me. Your mileage may vary.  I’ll discuss the various rounds and then award each round to one of the candidates based on the raltive number of Cheers or Boos from the Fatso’s crowd.

In the first round of questions, all the candidates were asked the same questions with each candidate alternating who went first.

Asked about Public transportation funding, Hutchison said that the Texas Department of Transportation (TxDOT) was grossly mismanaged, and needed to be audited and revamped. Medina said that we can’t even be sure the current figures for the TxDOT budget were correct, and agreed with the need for an audit. Governor Perry pointed out that the Legislature audits TxDOT every two years, and that the problem was that Washington sent back only 70 cents on every tax dollar for transportation. Perry then had his “deer-in-the-headlights” moment when he endorsed toll roads, saying that “private concerns” had a part in new road construction in the state. It was a glaring mistake so early in the debate.

Round is a Draw; but Perry lost points.

The next question was if the candidates would require all employers to use the federal e-verify system to ensure all new employees in the state were here legally. Medina went first this time, saying that the e-verify system is a flawed solution.  She stated that if Texas would just fix it’s own Driver’s licensure laws to require proof of citizenship or legal residence, we would not need e-verify.  She also called for immigration law reform.   Perry said that e-verify was a federal program and an abject failure.  He then used the rest of his time to slam Hutchison on the “Sanctuary Cities” law that passed while she was in the Senate.  Kay opened her statement by saying “Shame on the Governor,” then stated as a small businesswoman herself, e-verify was the best solution available.

Round goes to Medina.

The next question asked about Governor Perry taking $15 billion in stimulus money to cover a state budget shortfall,and asked what programs would be cut or taxes raised to cover next year’s shortfall.

Perry pointed out he had already issued a statewide directive to cut all departments 5%,and that the state budget had been balanced in 2003 ahead of a projected shortfall like this one without raising taxes.  Hutchison said that Perry was wrong to take the stimulus money, and favors across the board cuts.  She said that when she was state Treasurer she was able to find plenty of places to cut the budget – “It wasn’t hard to do.”  Medina said that while cutting the budget is the way to go, she favored discarding property taxes altogether and implementing a statewide sales tax of 6-14%. Eliminating property taxes would give Texans a 3% increse in real income and promote spending in the economy, which would increase tax revenues overall.

Round goes to Medina from the Standing ovation in Fatso’s.

The next set of questions were one-to-one interviews with each candidate.

Senator Hutchison went first, and her questioner nailed her with a clip of Kay’s “deer-in-the-headlights” moment from last debate on abortion.  Kay was clearly flustered then, and clearly flustered now also. Kay emphasized we need to promote more adoptions. rever life, but wouldn’t commit to saying she would support overturning Roe v. Wade.   The questioner then tried the same tactic again, saying her position on health  care had changed. Kay did the right thing this time and agreed it had changed, saying she stood “firmly against socialist health care.”  The questioner then tried to nail Kay on her earlier decision to resign her Senate seat to run for Governor, asking what would happen if a De3mocrat were elected to the seat. Kay laughed and said the was “not one scintilla of evidence a democrat would be elected to the Senate from Texas.”

Round was a draw; Kay stumbled badly early, but eventually recovered.  The laugh was a nice touch.

Debra Medina went next, and at this point the crowd began murmuring about this being the “GOTCHA!” Round as the next questioner tried to nail Debra with a clip of her speaking about secession of Texas.  Debra quickly pointed out that her remarks (which were out of context) were in response to Governor Perry’s “ill advised” remarks at the April 15th Tea Party in Dallas; and that she supports Nullification through the Tenth Amendment.  The questioner then asked if Medina was “all about personal liberty,” did she support Gay marriage?  Debra stated that marriage is a sacrament of the church, and the government had no right to tell the church what to do. Marriage by the church is between a man and a woman, and she favors that.  The questioner again pressed if she would be in favor of gay marriage, and Debra stonily relied, Absolutely Not!, which brought wild cheering in Fatso’s.  Her final question asked if we would be able to fund the state government on solely a sales tax, to which she replies that a “fairly structured” tax of 6-14% would be sufficient for the government’s needs.

Round goes to Medina, Hugely.

Governor Perry brought up the rear, and it became apparent he had few friends in Fatso’s.  Asked about illegal immigrants getting in-state tuition, the Governor defended the practice — and was loudly booed and jeered by the crowd.  Asked about reforming that practice, he said the Texas Education Association was supposed to be checking the immigration status of illegals – which even the panel of reporters found hard to swallow.  Asked for his stand on Roe v. Wade, the Governor stated “I always stand for life.”

Round to the Panel, with two Big mis-steps by Perry.

The next round was termed by the panel as the “Jeopardy” Round, which was quickly called by the Debate Watchers the “Charlie Gibson and Katie Couric” Round. A panelist asked Governor Perry about jobs in number of jobs created, and Perry replied in percentages.  Perry snidely replied to the questioner, “I know you’re having trouble understanding percentages . . . ” which brought a glare from the panelist and boos from the crowd.  Hutchison was asked about how many miles of border fence was acutally built – she said “about 150″ 9actually “105.8 miles”.  Medina was asked what percent of the state budget was Transportation, to which she guessed “about 9%) (actually the reporter didn’t know either, saying “12-13%.”

Hutchison then had her worst moment of the night, responding with a blank stare to the question “Who was the first Governor of Texas?”

Medina slam-dunked the final question of the round, answering “about $46,000.00″ to the question “What is the average annual teacher’s salary in Texas?”

Round to Medina, with bad mis-steps by both Perry and Hutchison.

The next round was viewer questions. The first was for Hutchison, and was asked what she would do as Governor to “Stop illegal immigration.”  She replied the DPS should be able to assist the Border Patrol in arresting illegals who commit crimes, and the e-verify system should be used.

The next was for Medina, and the viewer asked “why don’t we tax the wealthy to get their money from all the tax breaks they’ve got the last few years?”  Medina’s reply brought the crowd to a standing O – “Absolutely not!” She then reiterated that taxes are a drain on the economy, and we should get taxes off the backs of all Texans.

Perry was asked about Social Security benefits for retired teachers, and he blamed the mess on Congress. Not his best moment.  Asked about the Texas Enterprise Fund, Perry said that was “all screwed up too.”  Hutchison als agreed with assesment, saying it should be done away with, and the TxDot should be audited too.

Medina then had her glory moment of the night. Asked again about taxes, she said that property taxes should be eliminated, and that the role of government was to protect Freedom.   At this point the camera gave a wide shot of the trio.  Perry was visibly avoiding looking at Medina, while Hutchison was turned towards Medina, smiling as as Medina spoke.  Asked about Governor Perry’s comment after the last debate that Medina was “tearing down Texas,” Medina responded responded that “I’m a nurse and a businesswoman.  Our Government has failed by not demanding excellence and accountability.  She slammed Perry for awarding contracts “through cronies and slush funds.”

Perry was asked about toll roads – he tried to slam Hutchison by saying the legislature had passed a law prohibiting the tolling of free roads — “And I signed it.”

Hutchison responded by saying that Perry was manipulating people’s rights to freeways. She said TxDOT had fought her on this in Congress – “And that won’t happen when I’m Governor .”

Round – Very decidedly to Medina.  No question.

The closing statements were unusually revealing.  Governor Perry said Texas was the number one state in so many ways.  We don’t spend all our money, taxes are low, tort reform was passed, and we have “countless good schools.”  He closed with “May God Bless us and continue to Bless the Great State of Texas.”

Hutchisons’ closing statement was very nagging.  “As Treasurer I fought taxes.” Texas needs to fight crony-ism. Perry’s decision to vaccinate all schoolgirls against HPV virus was wrong and violated personal rights.  The Trans-Texas corridor was also a major mis-step.  And Texas continues to have a 30% dropout rate.  Not all is well in Texas.

Medina, having sanguinely watched the previous two speeches, commented dryly that they were “about what you’d expect from politicians.” She said with the Perry administration, financial ruin is at our doorstep. The Hutchison administration would support globalisation.  Her administration would “seek to remove the shackles that bind families and constrain businesses” by freeing Texans from Taxes.

The crowd stood and cheered.  And cheered some more. And whistled for good measure.

NOTES on the debate:

If Medina didn’t win the last debate, she surely knocked this one out of the park. She was the only candidate to get a question right in the “Jeopardy” segment, and refused to back down, even when relentlessly question by an obviously testy panel.

Go watch those links at the front of the post.  They a WELL worth watching.

The primary is 32 days away on March 2nd. The deadline for registering to vote in Texas is Monday — February 1st.

Get a move on.

~Johnny~

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Rasmussen Reports has released the second half of the survey they did immediately after the Gubernatorial debates last week. While interesting, it seems to mirror the results of the first half of the survey.

Texas Survey of 1,000 Likely Voters
Conducted January 17, 2010
By Rasmussen Reports
NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

1* Election 2010: Texas Governor’s Race

Rick Perry (R) 50%

Bill White (D)  40%

Kay Bailey Hutchison (R)  52%

Bill White (D) 37%

Debra Medina (R)  38%

Bill White (D)   44%

This appears to reflect the trend of the country currently (and especially last night in Massachusetts)  against Democrats.  It’s interesting that Medina, with limited name recognition, is only 6% behind White, and still in run-off contention.

2* I’m going to read you a short list of people in the News. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Candidate Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure
Rick Perry 19% 36% 21% 21% 3%
Kay Bailey Hutchison 18% 43% 27% 8% 4%
Bill White 23% 26% 18% 17% 16%
Debra Medina 10% 29% 20% 12% 29%

Or,  if you combine the Favorables and unfavorables together . . .

Candidate Favorable Unfavorable Not sure
Rick Perry 55% 42% 3%
Kay Bailey Hutchison 61% 35% 4%
Bill White 49% 35% 16%
Debra Medina 39% 32% 29%

Perry has the largest Unfavorable ratings of any candidate, which may just be a matter of exposure and being a known quantity.  However, talking with the Tea Party people here in San Antonio, I don’t think that’s all there is to it.  Hutchison has the highest favorable ratings, and Medina the lowest Unfavorables.

3* Should Kay Bailey Hutchison remain in her position as senator while she is running for Governor?

52% Yes
27% No
21% Not sure

The more I think about this one, the more I believe the only explanation is that Texans don’t trust San Fran Nan Pelosi and Dingy Harry Reid  at all, and want Kay there to B-slap them as necessary.  Whether Kay will do that remains to be seen.

4* Governor Perry withdrew Texas from a federal program offering up to $700 million in education grants. He expressed concern about education guidelines from the federal government as a result of accepting the grant. Do you agree or disagree with Governor Perry’s decision to turn down $700 million in education grants.

45% Agree

45% Disagree
10% Not sure

Split right down the middle, which mirrors the division voters feel about the Texas schools generally.  This could very well be a ticking time bomb for Perry.  I wouldn’t hitch my wagon to the star of Texas schools during the campaign if I was he.

5* Generally speaking, do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the health care reform plan proposed by President Obama and the congressional Democrats?

39%  Favor

57%  Oppose

This figure is just a few points away from the figure for Kay Bailey to stay in the Senate.  There may very well be a connection.

6* How likely is it that there will be another terrorist attack in the United States in the next year?

67% Likely
22% Not likely
11% Not sure

7* Should the December attempt to blow up an airliner as it was landing in Detroit be investigated by military authorities as a terrorist act or by civilian authorities as a criminal act?

68% By the military as a terrorist act
20% By civilian authorities as a criminal act
12% Not sure

Notice how the numbers on these two questions are almost identical.  Not much division of thought among Texans on Terrorism.

14* How would you rate the job Rick Perry has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

53%  Approve
46%  Disapprove

2% Not sure

If I were Rick Perry I’d be very worried right now.  While he’s been Governor for two terms and has massive name recognition, yet he barely ekes out a 53% approval?  He also split approval of his schools funding question at 45% as well.  Plus his challenger Kay Bailey has higher approvl numbers than he has — and the no-name challenger (Medina) is generally acknowledged to have won the debate.

Really, all Rick Perry has going for him is inertia — and he seems to be running out of that, just like Kay Bailey.

~Johnny~

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