This is very surprising, for several reasons. First, neither Governor Perry nor Senator Hutchison have declared their candidacy yet, although it’s pretty much a sure thing that Perry will run for re-election. (He’s already the longest-serving governor in Texas history.)
Second, neither candidate is particularly more conservative than the other. Sen. Hutchison is markedly more conservative than the junior Senator (John Cornyn); yet she’s had her share of poor choices over the years. But most importantly, Kay Bailey Hutchison has the appearance of leading the fight against the Obama-ites in the Senate [/sarcasm], while Rick Perry just reneged on his promise to NOT take the stimulus money.
If the Republican primary were held today, Rick Perry’s tenure as Governor of Texas would be coming to an end, the newest survey from Public Policy Polling finds. Perry trails Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison 56-31 among likely GOP primary voters.
Another problem for Perry is that Hutchison leads with every subgroup of the population PPP tracks by gender, race, and age. There is a slight gender gap with Hutchison leading by 28 among women and 22 with men but it’s still a substantial lead either way.
PPP was the most accurate pollster in the Texas Republican primary for President last year.
Full results here.